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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2024 18:00 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Jandal

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 : 2
Finished
Al Jandal
Al Jandal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Jandal 23 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Ahli Jeddah. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 10.00 / 2 18.00
  • 1X2 market: Al-Ahli Jeddah 85.7% / X 9.2% / Al Jandal 5.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 73.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.0%
1 85.7%
X 9.2%
2 5.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.6%
Over 2.5 73.7%
Under 2.5 26.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Jandal

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 6.80 Fonbet · line only
12 1.02 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 5.05 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.08 92.6%
Х 10.00 10.0%
П2 21.00 4.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
Х 9.50 10.5% 9.50 10.5% 10.00 10.0% 8.50 11.8% 9.80 10.2% 11.00 9.1%
П2 26.00 3.9% 16.00 6.3% 21.00 4.8% 29.00 3.5% 21.50 4.7% 23.00 4.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.32 43.1% 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle Tipico
draw_away 5.65 17.7% 7.00 14.3% 8.50 11.8% 5.25 19.1% 6.80 14.7% 5.65 17.7% 8.78 11.4% 9.50 10.5%
home_away 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% —
home_draw 1.01 99.0% — 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% — — — —
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Ahli Jeddah - Al Jandal

Al-Ahli Jeddah
0 matches total
Al Jandal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history