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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
24.09.2024 15:35 UTC Match prediction
24.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Bukayriyah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Bukayriyah
Al Bukayriyah
0 : 1
Finished
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Bukayriyah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Hilal Saudi FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 23.00 / X 11.00 / 2 1.05
  • 1X2 market: Al Bukayriyah 4.0% / X 8.4% / Al-Hilal Saudi FC 87.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 77.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.7%
1 4.0%
X 8.4%
2 87.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.8%
Over 2.5 77.9%
Under 2.5 22.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Match center

Al Bukayriyah - Al-Hilal Saudi FC

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X 9.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1X 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.19 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.20 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 23.00 4.4%
Х 13.00 7.7%
П2 1.04 96.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 29.00 3.5% 36.00 2.8% 23.00 4.4% 27.00 3.7% 33.50 3.0% 34.00 2.9%
Х 11.00 9.1% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 10.00 10.0% 10.75 9.3% 13.00 7.7%
П2 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Fonbet Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%
yes 1.85 54.1% 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.00 50.0% 4.75 21.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.36 42.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson Fonbet Marathonbet NordicBet Pinnacle
draw_away — — 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% — — — — —
home_away 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% — 1.01 99.0% —
home_draw 8.70 11.5% 9.00 11.1% 9.50 10.5% 5.75 17.4% 4.20 23.8% 7.80 12.8% 8.70 11.5% 4.20 23.8% 10.87 9.2%