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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2024 18:00 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Ettifaq - Al-Adalah

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ettifaq
2 : 0
Finished
Al-Adalah
Al-Adalah

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Ettifaq - Al-Adalah 23 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Ettifaq.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Ettifaq. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.40 / X 4.50 / 2 6.70
  • 1X2 market: Al-Ettifaq 65.8% / X 20.5% / Al-Adalah 13.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 65.8%
X 20.5%
2 13.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.1%
Over 2.5 53.8%
Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al-Ettifaq - Al-Adalah

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.70 Fonbet · line only
X 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.75 Fonbet · line only
12 1.16 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.13 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.41 70.9%
Х 4.54 22.0%
П2 6.43 15.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.30 76.9%
Х 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.40 22.7% 4.75 21.1%
П2 6.50 15.4% 7.17 14.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.60 15.2% 6.40 15.6% 7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.85 35.1% 2.50 40.0% 2.26 44.3%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Ettifaq - Al-Adalah

Al-Ettifaq
0 matches total
Al-Adalah
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history