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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2024 15:30 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Fayha - Al Baten

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha
4 : 0
Finished
Al Baten
Al Baten

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Fayha - Al Baten 23 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Fayha.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Fayha. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 4.15 / 2 5.60
  • 1X2 market: Al-Fayha 61.4% / X 22.2% / Al Baten 16.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 61.4%
X 22.2%
2 16.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.3%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2024 15:30 UTC
Match center

Al-Fayha - Al Baten

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 Fonbet · line only
X 4.15 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.40 Fonbet · line only
12 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.87 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.51 66.2%
Х 4.28 23.4%
П2 5.71 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 1.57 63.7% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
Х 3.85 26.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.70 27.0% 4.05 24.7% 3.87 25.8% 3.80 26.3%
П2 5.00 20.0% 5.58 17.9% 5.00 20.0% 5.70 17.5% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.50 40.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2% 1.13 88.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Fayha - Al Baten

Al-Fayha
0 matches total
Al Baten
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history