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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2024 15:35 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Hazm - Al-Nassr

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm
1 : 2
Finished
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Hazm - Al-Nassr 23 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Nassr.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Nassr. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 18.00 / X 8.00 / 2 1.11
  • 1X2 market: Al-Hazm 5.1% / X 11.6% / Al-Nassr 83.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 5.1%
X 11.6%
2 83.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.2%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Under 2.5 33.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Match center

Al-Hazm - Al-Nassr

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
X 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
12 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 6.25 market consensus · line only
1 +1 3.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.47 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 18.32 5.5%
Х 9.62 10.4%
П2 1.10 90.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 21.00 4.8% 13.40 7.5% 21.00 4.8% 20.00 5.0% 16.50 6.1% 21.00 4.8%
Х 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 7.20 13.9% 7.45 13.4% 9.00 11.1%
П2 1.09 91.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.06 94.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.03 97.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.01 99.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.05 95.2% 1.04 96.2%
home_draw 3.20 31.3% 4.80 20.8% 6.50 15.4% 6.90 14.5% 4.60 21.7% 3.70 27.0%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl-Hazm - Al-Nassr

Al-Hazm
0 matches total
Al-Nassr
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history