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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
24.09.2024 15:45 UTC Match prediction
24.09.2024 15:45 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Jabalain - Al-Fateh

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Jabalain
Al Jabalain
2 : 0
Finished
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Jabalain - Al-Fateh 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Fateh.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Fateh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / X 3.70 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Al Jabalain 20.6% / X 25.0% / Al-Fateh 54.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 20.6%
X 25.0%
2 54.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.1%
Over 2.5 50.8%
Under 2.5 49.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 15:45 UTC
Match center

Al Jabalain - Al-Fateh

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 Fonbet · line only
X 3.70 Fonbet · line only
1 4.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
12 1.23 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.33 23.1%
Х 3.60 27.8%
П2 1.67 59.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 4.50 22.2% 4.46 22.4% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.42 22.6% 4.20 23.8%
Х 3.60 27.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8%
П2 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 1.95 51.3% 1.83 54.6%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Jabalain - Al-Fateh

Al Jabalain
0 matches total
Al-Fateh
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history