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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
24.09.2024 18:00 UTC Match prediction
24.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Kholood - Al Shabab

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Kholood
Al Kholood
1 : 3
Finished
Al Shabab
Al Shabab

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Kholood - Al Shabab 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Shabab.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al Shabab. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.95 / X 3.55 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: Al Kholood 23.4% / X 26.1% / Al Shabab 50.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1%
1 23.4%
X 26.1%
2 50.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.3%
Over 2.5 48.1%
Under 2.5 51.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al Kholood - Al Shabab

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 Fonbet · line only
X 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 3.95 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.87 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.92 25.5%
Х 3.46 28.9%
П2 1.85 54.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 3.78 26.5% 3.60 27.8%
Х 3.55 28.2% 3.42 29.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8%
П2 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.21 82.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.85 54.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.71 58.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Kholood - Al Shabab

Al Kholood
0 matches total
Al Shabab
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history