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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
25.09.2024 15:35 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Najma - Damac

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Najma
Al Najma
2 : 0
Finished
Damac
Damac

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Najma - Damac 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Damac.

Line favourite Fonbet: Damac. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / X 4.30 / 2 1.47
  • 1X2 market: Al Najma 15.9% / X 21.4% / Damac 62.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.5%
1 15.9%
X 21.4%
2 62.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.1%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 15:35 UTC
Match center

Al Najma - Damac

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 Fonbet · line only
X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
12 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.50 15.4%
Х 4.10 24.4%
П2 1.42 70.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
П1 5.75 17.4% 6.49 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.00 16.7% 5.75 17.4% 5.60 17.9%
Х 3.95 25.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%
П2 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet NordicBet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5%
yes 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.98 50.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.09 47.9%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Najma - Damac

Al Najma
0 matches total
Damac
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history