King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2025 15:35 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Najma - Damac

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Najma
Al Najma
2 : 1
Finished
Damac
Damac

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Najma - Damac 23 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Najma.

Line favourite market consensus: Al Najma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.19 / 2 2.82
  • 1X2 market: Al Najma 38.9% / X 28.7% / Damac 32.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 38.9%
X 28.7%
2 32.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2025 15:35 UTC
Match center

Al Najma - Damac

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 2.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.56 39.1%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 2.76 36.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.20 45.5% 2.29 43.7% 2.49 40.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.57 38.9% 2.10 47.6%
Х 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.37 29.7% 3.25 30.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3%
П2 3.00 33.3% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3% 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.27 78.7% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Al Najma
L W
29.10 15:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Najma 0:1 Al-Raed
25.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Al Najma 2:0 Damac
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
3 Points
Damac
L
25.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Damac 0:2 Al Najma
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Najma - Damac

Al Najma
1 matches total
Damac
Al Najma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Damac: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Al Najma 2:0 (25.09 15:35 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 25.09 15:35 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.09 15:35 UTC King's Cup
Al Najma
2:0
Damac