King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
24.09.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Orubah - Al-Qadisiyah FC

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Orubah
Al Orubah
1 : 3
Finished
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Orubah - Al-Qadisiyah FC 24 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Line favourite market consensus: Al-Qadisiyah FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.42 / X 5.14 / 2 1.28
  • 1X2 market: Al Orubah 11.0% / X 17.8% / Al-Qadisiyah FC 71.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 10.9%
X 17.8%
2 71.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.1%
Over 2.5 62.5%
Under 2.5 37.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al Orubah - Al-Qadisiyah FC

Form 1/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 market consensus · line only
X 5.17 market consensus · line only
1 8.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 3.32 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 7.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 9.89 10.1%
Х 5.56 18.0%
П2 1.25 80.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 8.00 12.5% 8.00 12.5% 8.20 12.2% 7.50 13.3% 10.25 9.8% 8.50 11.8%
Х 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 4.95 20.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 3.25 30.8% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.65 27.4% 3.06 32.7% 3.80 26.3%
Match center
Al Orubah
L
22.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Orubah 1:4 Al-Qadisiyah FC
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Al-Qadisiyah FC
L W W W W
30.05 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Qadisiyah FC 1:3 Al-Ittihad FC
02.04 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Qadisiyah FC 1:0 Al-Raed
07.01 15:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Qadisiyah FC 3:0 Al Taawon
28.10 17:30 UTC King's Cup
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2:1 Al Wehda Club
22.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al-Qadisiyah FC 4:1 Al Orubah
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Orubah - Al-Qadisiyah FC

Al Orubah
1 matches total
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Orubah: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Al-Qadisiyah FC: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Al-Qadisiyah FC 1:4 (22.09 18:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 22.09 18:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.09 18:00 UTC King's Cup
Al Orubah
1:4
Al-Qadisiyah FC