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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
22.09.2024 18:00 UTC Match prediction
22.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al-Qadisiyah FC - Al Orubah

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC
4 : 1
Finished
Al Orubah
Al Orubah

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al-Qadisiyah FC - Al Orubah 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al-Qadisiyah FC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al-Qadisiyah FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.50 / X 4.10 / 2 5.70
  • 1X2 market: Al-Qadisiyah FC 61.4% / X 22.5% / Al Orubah 16.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.6%
1 61.4%
X 22.5%
2 16.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.3%
Over 2.5 54.3%
Under 2.5 45.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al-Qadisiyah FC - Al Orubah

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.70 Fonbet · line only
X 4.10 Fonbet · line only
1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.40 Fonbet · line only
12 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.52 65.8%
Х 4.06 24.6%
П2 5.56 18.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 1.53 65.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4%
Х 3.95 25.3% 4.10 24.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.02 24.9% 4.00 25.0%
П2 5.25 19.1% 5.67 17.6% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9% 5.25 19.1% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Fonbet Marathonbet NordicBet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%