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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
25.09.2024 18:00 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Safa - Al Riyadh

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Safa
Al Safa
1 : 3
Finished
Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Safa - Al Riyadh 25 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Riyadh.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al Riyadh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 8.50 / X 4.80 / 2 1.32
  • 1X2 market: Al Safa 10.9% / X 19.2% / Al Riyadh 69.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 10.9%
X 19.2%
2 69.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.2%
Over 2.5 48.6%
Under 2.5 51.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2024 18:00 UTC
Match center

Al Safa - Al Riyadh

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 Fonbet · line only
X 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 5.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.40 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 8.62 11.6%
Х 4.72 21.2%
П2 1.32 75.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 9.50 10.5% 9.70 10.3% 5.75 17.4% 9.00 11.1% 9.60 10.4% 9.00 11.1%
Х 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5% 5.75 17.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.48 67.6% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.49 67.1%
yes 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.42 41.3% 2.25 44.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 3.20 31.3% 3.12 32.1% 2.88 34.7% 3.30 30.3% 2.95 33.9% 2.60 38.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAl Safa - Al Riyadh

Al Safa
0 matches total
Al Riyadh
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history