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King's Cup
King's Cup Saudi-Arabia
23.09.2024 15:45 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2024 15:45 UTC
Finished

King's Cup

Saudi-Arabia

Al Taee - Al Khaleej Saihat

Saudi-Arabia Futbol
Al Taee
Al Taee
2 : 2
Finished
Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Khaleej Saihat

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Taee - Al Khaleej Saihat 23 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Al Khaleej Saihat.

Line favourite Fonbet: Al Khaleej Saihat. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.55 / X 3.25 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: Al Taee 26.0% / X 28.4% / Al Khaleej Saihat 45.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 26.0%
X 28.4%
2 45.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 8.1%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2024 15:45 UTC
Match center

Al Taee - Al Khaleej Saihat

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 Fonbet · line only
X 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1 3.55 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.25 Fonbet · line only
12 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.65 27.4%
Х 3.21 31.2%
П2 2.06 48.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betfair
П1 3.40 29.4% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.20 31.3%
Х 3.30 30.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
П2 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Betsson Betway Fonbet Marathonbet
no 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betcris Betsson
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.23 81.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.59 62.9%