AI verdict

AI pick Al Riyadh win probability ~53% confidence Low best odds 2.60

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Al Riyadh. Full breakdown below.

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Kings Cup
Kings Cup
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
17.08.2026 16:15 UTC Round of 32
Not started

Kings Cup

Al Zulfi - Al Riyadh

Football
A
Al Zulfi
- : -
Not started
A
Al Riyadh

Al Zulfi go head-to-head with Al Riyadh on August 17, 2026 in the Kings Cup.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Al Riyadh53%

1 · Al Zulfi22.6%
X · draw24.5%
2 · Al Riyadh52.8%

Model estimate: win Al Zulfi 22.6%, draw 24.5%, win Al Riyadh 52.8%. Model favourite — Al Riyadh.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown
AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Al Riyadh (odds1.94) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Al-Riyad: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Al Zulfi - Al Riyadh August 17, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Al Riyadh. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.40 / X 3.80 / 2 2.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 5 books · best price +50.3%
1 21.3%
X 24.6%
2 54.1%

Odds source: consensus of 5 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Kambi BetMGM, Kambi Unibet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

King's Cup
Best price across 10 books
1 4.75 BetVictor
X 4.15 Pinnacle
2 1.67 Betano

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Al Zulfi
23%
23.00
Draw
23%
9.00
Al Riyadh
54%
2.60
Handicap
Al Zulfi (0)
40%
3.30
Al Riyadh (0)
60%
1.84
Total
Over 9.5
50%
1.85
Under 9.5
50%
1.82
Both teams to score
Yes
54%
1.77
No
46%
2.16

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Al Zulfi 2 : 1 Al Riyadh
14.42
X4.00
21.59

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 17.08.2026 16:15 UTC
Market 1 26.0% @ 4.40 / X 30.1% @ 3.80 / 2 44.0% @ 2.60
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Al Riyadh 53%
💹 Market Al Riyadh 54%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Al Zulfi - Al Riyadh

football, Al-Zulfi - Er-Riyad, 17 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Al-Zulfi - Er-Riyad, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Saudovskiy Cup chempionov 2026/27, 1/16 finala.

Form 3/3 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Al Zulfi 21.3% 22.6%
Draw 24.6% 24.5% draw risk
Al Riyadh 54.1% 52.8% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 22.6% / 24.5% / 52.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,524 / 1,519 Al Zulfi / Al-Riyadh
RD 259 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,005-2,043 / 937-2,101 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.86 market consensus · no value · model 52.8%
X 4.60 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.59 market consensus · no value · model 22.6%
Double chance
12 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 75.5%
1X 3.08 market consensus · weak value +45.3% · model 47.2%
X2 1.19 market consensus · no value · model 77.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.58 market consensus · line only
1 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet Leon
no 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Kambi BetMGM Kambi Unibet
12 1.28 78.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.39 71.9% 7.00 14.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8%
x2 1.41 70.9% 1.02 98.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.67 27.3%
X 2.08 48.1%
2.80 35.7%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.76 56.8%
Under 1 1.95 51.3%
Match center
Al Zulfi
D D D
28.10.2025 Championat
Al Zulfi 28.10.2025 Cup Korolya Al-Shabab 1 : 0 Al-Zulfi 1/8 finala
23.09.2025 Championat
Al Zulfi 23.09.2025 Cup Korolya Al-Zulfi 0 4 : 3 Al-Feykha 1/16 finala 1 Wins 0 Draws 1 Losses 0 Scored 0.5 Conceded 0+0 Kartochki 0 -1 0 15 30 45 60 75
14.08.2026 Championat
Al Zulfi 14.08.2026 Saudi Arabia — Pro-Liga Al-Ittifak 4 : 2 Er-Riyad 1-y Round
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Al Riyadh
D D D
21.05.2026 Championat
21.05.2026 Saudi Arabia — Pro-Liga Er-Riyad 1 : 0 Al-Okhdud 34-y Round Al Riyadh
15.05.2026 Championat
15.05.2026 Saudi Arabia — Pro-Liga Al-Taavun 1 Er-Riyad 33-y Round Al Riyadh
10.05.2026 Championat
10.05.2026 Saudi Arabia — Pro-Liga Er-Riyad </ Al Riyadh
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
Scored
Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Al Zulfi - Al Riyadh

Al Zulfi
0 matches total
Al Riyadh
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Al Zulfi
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Al Riyadh
Al Zulfi Team comparison Al Riyadh
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Al-Zulfi Er-Riyad 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 33% 0% 67% Double chance 17% 49% 34% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1332854' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical'); Cup Korolya Turnirnaya Standings

Recent form

Al Zulfi LDDLWD
Al Riyadh LWDWLL

Team form & streaks

Al Zulfi LDDLWD
Scoring streak: 9
Al Riyadh LWDWLL
Scoring streak: 5

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Match facts

Round: 5 Stadium: Al Zulfi Stadium, Al Zulfi

Sportradar · Winline StatsHub

Frequently asked questions

When does Al Zulfi vs Al Riyadh start?

August 17, 2026.