Guatemala. Primera Division
CD Real Santander (w) face Orsomarso (w) on August 1, 2026 in the Guatemala. Primera Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): CD Real Santander (w) 1-3-1, Orsomarso (w) 1-2-2. The bookmaker line makes Orsomarso (w) the favourite at about 45%. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 25% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Orsomarso (w) — 45%
Pure model vs market (2 · Orsomarso (w)): model 34% · market 45% Δ −11 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win CD Real Santander (w) 25.3%, draw 30.0%, win Orsomarso (w) 44.7%. Model favourite — Orsomarso (w).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Orsomarso (w).
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.80 26.3% | 3.93 25.5% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.90 25.6% | |
| X | 3.00 33.3% | 3.02 33.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.59 62.9% |
| yes | 2.22 45.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.03 97.1% |
| 1x | 1.58 63.3% | 1.68 59.5% | 7.10 14.1% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.10 90.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 0_1 | 4.50 22.2% |
| 0_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_3 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_4 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_5 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 1_3 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 1_4 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 1_5 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 46.00 2.2% |
Full head-to-head historyCD Real Santander (w) - Orsomarso (w)
The CD Real Santander (w) - Orsomarso (w) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
