Colombia: Liga - Women Standings
Millonarios W - Santa Fe W
Millonarios W take on Santa Fe W on August 4, 2026 in the Colombia: Liga - Women Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Millonarios W 0-1-0, Santa Fe W 0-0-1. The market favourite is Millonarios W at roughly 45%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Millonarios W — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Millonarios W): model 54% · market 45% Δ +9 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Millonarios W 45.3%, draw 29.0%, win Santa Fe W 25.7%. Model favourite — Millonarios W.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Santa Fe (Zh) (football)
- • Model backs Milonarios (Zh): probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Millonarios W - Santa Fe W August 4, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Millonarios W.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.99 / X 3.08 / 2 3.57
- 1X2 market: Millonarios W 45.4% / X 29.3% / Santa Fe W 25.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 7 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betcity, Betfair, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga FemeninaHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Millonarios W - Santa Fe W
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betfair | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 3.20 31.3% | 3.04 32.9% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| 3.75 26.7% | 3.52 28.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.64 61.0% |
| yes | 2.13 47.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.27 78.7% |
| x2 | 1.69 59.2% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 1_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 2_0 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 2_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 34.00 2.9% |
Full head-to-head historyMillonarios W - Santa Fe W
Match history
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The Millonarios W - Santa Fe W breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form