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Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
01.08.2026 22:45 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie A

America de Cali - Chico

Football
America de Cali
America de Cali
- : -
Not started
C
Chico

America de Cali face Chico on August 1, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 America de Cali63%

1 · America de Cali ✓ Pick62.9%
market69%
X · draw17.7%
market21%
2 · Chico19.4%
market10%

Model estimate: win America de Cali 62.9%, draw 17.7%, win Chico 19.4%. Model favourite — America de Cali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1America de Cali (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Amerika De Kali: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction America de Cali - Chico August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: America de Cali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.50 / 2 9.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 ✓ Pick 69.2%
X 21.1%
2 9.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera A
League table
America de Cali
#537 ptsGP 2211-4-728:20
Chico
#1817 ptsGP 195-2-1215:32
Best price across 13 books
1 1.37 Unibet
X 4.60 Superbet
2 10.25 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
America de Cali
W-D-L 5-1-4 Scored 1.20 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.35 xGA 1.01 Corners 3.1
Chico
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 0.80 Conceded 1.60 xG 0.85 xGA 1.53 Corners 4.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
America de Cali
Rating 1575 xG 1.59 Win 57%
Chico
Rating 1409 xG 0.77 Win 18%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 22:45 UTC
Market 1 69.2% @ 1.37 / X 21.1% @ 4.50 / 2 9.7% @ 9.80
Match center

America de Cali - Chico

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
America de Cali - 62.9% model pick
Draw - 17.7% draw risk
Chico - 19.4%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 62.9% / 17.7% / 19.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,748 / 1,500 America de Cali / Chiko
RD 242 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,263-2,232 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.20 market consensus · no value · model 19.4%
X 4.40 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 62.9%
Double chance
12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 82.3%
1X 1.02 market consensus · no value · model 80.6%
X2 2.92 market consensus · no value · model 37.1%
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.83 35.3% 3.00 33.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.84 54.4%
X 2.31 43.3%
9.60 10.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.87 53.5%
Under 1 1.83 54.6%
Match center
America de Cali
W
26.07 17:00 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
America de Cali 2:0 Inter Bogota
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAmerica de Cali - Chico

America de Cali
0 matches total
Chico
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history