Colombia. Serie A
Bucaramanga - Cucuta
Bucaramanga meet Cucuta on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Bucaramanga 1-1-0, Cucuta 0-0-1. The bookmaker line makes Bucaramanga the favourite at about 59%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Bucaramanga — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Bucaramanga): model 57% · market 59% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Bucaramanga 58.8%, draw 25.0%, win Cucuta 16.2%. Model favourite — Bucaramanga.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Bukaramanga: probability 64% vs 62% on the line (odds 1.62)
- • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bucaramanga - Cucuta August 3, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bucaramanga.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.58 / X 3.69 / 2 5.98
- 1X2 market: Bucaramanga 59.1% / X 25.3% / Cucuta 15.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera AHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Bucaramanga - Cucuta
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | |
| X | 3.65 27.4% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 6.20 16.1% | 5.77 17.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.90 17.0% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.75 17.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% |
| yes | 2.09 47.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.24 80.7% |
| 1x | 1.08 92.6% | 1.12 89.3% |
| x2 | 2.17 46.1% | 2.16 46.3% |
Exact Score
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 0_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_3 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 1_0 | 4.75 21.1% |
| 1_1 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 1_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 1_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 5.75 17.4% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 2_3 | 51.00 2.0% |
| 3_0 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 3_1 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 3_2 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 3_3 | 71.00 1.4% |
| 4_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
Bucaramanga
Lyaneros
Milonarios
Cucuta
Onse Kaldas
Full head-to-head historyBucaramanga - Cucuta
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form