PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
31.07.2026 17:00 UTC
31.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Not started

Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings

Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Aguilas

Football
D
Deportivo Pasto
- : -
Not started
R
Rionegro Aguilas
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Deportivo Pasto — 50%

Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Pasto): model 31% · market 51% Δ −20 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Deportivo Pasto49.8%
X · draw28.0%
2 · Rionegro Aguilas22.2%

Model estimate: win Deportivo Pasto 49.8%, draw 28.0%, win Rionegro Aguilas 22.2%. Model favourite — Deportivo Pasto.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Deportivo Pasto (odds1.83) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Deportivo Pasto: probability 50% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-5 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Aguilas July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Deportivo Pasto. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.32 / 2 4.57

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 51.0%
X 28.4%
2 20.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Deportivo Pasto 1 : 1 Rionegro Aguilas
12.75
X2.52
22.84

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 31.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Deportivo Pasto - Rionegro Aguilas

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Deportivo Pasto 51.0% 49.8% market and model agree
Draw 28.4% 28.0% draw risk
Rionegro Aguilas 20.6% 22.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.8% / 28.0% / 22.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,333 / 1,600 Deportivo Pasto / Rionegro Aguilas
RD 259 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 814-1,851 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · no value · model 22.2%
X 3.27 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.83 market consensus · no value · model 49.8%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
1X 1.16 market consensus · no value · model 77.8%
X2 1.85 market consensus · no value · model 50.2%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.42 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.73 57.8%
yes 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.16 86.2%
x2 1.79 55.9% 1.90 52.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.52 39.7%
X 2.04 49.0%
5.20 19.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.06 48.5%
Under 1 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Deportivo Pasto
L
25.07 19:05 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Deportivo Pasto 2:3 Medelin
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Rionegro Aguilas
W
26.07 19:05 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Rionegro Aguilas 2:1 Santa Fe
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points