Colombia. Serie A
Jaguares Cordoba face Atletico Nacional on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Jaguares Cordoba 1-1-3, Atletico Nacional 3-0-2. Sportsbooks lean towards Atletico Nacional, an implied 53% to win. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 21% to win — broadly in line with the market. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Atletico Nacional — 53%
Pure model vs market (2 · Atletico Nacional): model 41% · market 53% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Jaguares Cordoba 21.3%, draw 25.6%, win Atletico Nacional 53.0%. Model favourite — Atletico Nacional.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Nacional.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.60 21.7% | 4.53 22.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.55 22.0% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.60 21.7% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% |
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.12 89.3% |
| 1x | 2.15 46.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 3.95 25.3% |
| x2 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 9.00 11.1% |
| 0_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 0_2 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 0_3 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 0_4 | 26.00 3.9% |
| 0_5 | 61.00 1.6% |
| 0_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_1 | 6.00 16.7% |
| 1_2 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 1_3 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_4 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_5 | 56.00 1.8% |
| 1_6 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 2_0 | 21.00 4.8% |
| 2_1 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 19.00 5.3% |
Atletico Nacional
Full head-to-head historyJaguares Cordoba - Atletico Nacional
The Jaguares Cordoba - Atletico Nacional breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
