Colombia. Serie A
Llaneros meet Fortaleza FC on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Llaneros 1-1-0, Fortaleza FC 0-1-0. The market favourite is Llaneros at roughly 45%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Llaneros — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Llaneros): model 47% · market 45% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Llaneros 45.0%, draw 30.2%, win Fortaleza FC 24.8%. Model favourite — Llaneros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Llaneros.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.10 47.6% | 2.09 47.9% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.13 32.0% |
| 3.75 26.7% | 3.82 26.2% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.74 57.5% |
| yes | 2.02 49.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 6.50 15.4% |
| 0_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 0_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 1_0 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_1 | 5.25 19.1% |
| 1_2 | 10.00 10.0% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 41.00 2.4% |
| 2_4 | 101.00 1.0% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_2 | 29.00 3.5% |
Llaneros
Bukaramanga
Fortaleza FC
Full head-to-head historyLlaneros - Fortaleza FC
The Llaneros - Fortaleza FC breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
