Llaneros go head-to-head with Fortaleza FC on August 4, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Llaneros 1-1-0, Fortaleza FC 0-1-0. The market favourite is Llaneros at roughly 45%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1Llaneros — 45%
Pure model vs market (1 · Llaneros): model 46% · market 45%Δ +1 ppmodel estimate matches the market
45%1
1 · Llaneros44.7%
X · draw30.3%
2 · Fortaleza FC25.0%
Model estimate: win Llaneros 44.7%, draw 30.3%, win Fortaleza FC 25.0%. Model favourite — Llaneros.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Llaneros (odds2.28)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Lyaneros: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.28)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Llaneros - Fortaleza FC August 4, 2026
Football math model
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Llaneros.
Line favourite market consensus: Llaneros. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
Odds source: consensus of 16 books (10Bet, 1xBet, Baltbet, Bet365, BetVictor, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera A
League table
Llaneros
#1426 ptsGP 215-11-519:21
Fortaleza FC
#1524 ptsGP 215-9-723:28
Best price
across 14 books
12.12Pinnacle
X3.1510Bet
23.99Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Llaneros
Rating 1503xG 1.23Win 42%
Fortaleza FC
Rating 1480xG 0.98Win 29%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Llaneros0:0Fortaleza FC
12.14
X2.86
23.90
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 22:15 UTC
142%✓ favourite
X36%
222%
Score1:1Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:1X and Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 1-1
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 22:18 UTC
144%✓ favourite
X31%
225%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5 (Total Under 2.5 golov)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
42%
36%
22%
1:1
Under 2.5
No
1X and Under 2.5
Claude
44%
31%
25%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5 (Total Under 2.5 golov)
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Llaneros44.6%44.7%market and model agree
Draw30.8%30.3%draw risk
Fortaleza FC24.6%25.0%
xG-1.23 : 0.98
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P244.7% / 30.3% / 25.0%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
23.75
market consensus · no value · model 25.0%
X3.03
market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
12.07
market consensus · no value · model 44.7%
Double chance
121.34
market consensus · no value · model 69.7%
1X1.22
market consensus · no value · model 75.0%
X21.65
market consensus · no value · model 55.3%
Handicap
2 +0.51.65
market consensus · line only
2 02.60
market consensus · line only
1 -0.52.11
market consensus · line only
1 01.44
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.52.38
market consensus · line only
Under 2.51.54
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No1.70
market consensus · line only
Yes2.08
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
Outcome
10Bet
1xBet
Bet365
Betano
Betfair
BetVictor
2.0848.1%
2.0947.9%
2.1047.6%
2.1247.2%
2.0050.0%
2.0548.8%
X
3.1531.8%
2.9933.4%
3.1032.3%
3.0033.3%
3.1032.3%
3.1032.3%
3.7027.0%
3.8426.0%
3.7027.0%
3.8026.3%
3.8026.3%
3.6027.8%
Both teams to score
Outcome
Leon
no
1.7058.8%
yes
2.0848.1%
Double chance
Outcome
Baltbet
Betcity
12
1.3474.6%
1.3474.6%
1x
1.2182.6%
1.2282.0%
x2
1.6261.7%
1.6759.9%
Exact Score
Outcome
10Bet
0_0
7.0014.3%
0_1
7.5013.3%
0_2
15.006.7%
0_3
41.002.4%
0_4
101.001.0%
1_0
5.0020.0%
1_1
5.2519.1%
1_2
10.0010.0%
1_3
29.003.5%
1_4
81.001.2%
2_0
7.5013.3%
2_1
7.5013.3%
2_2
15.006.7%
2_3
41.002.4%
2_4
101.001.0%
3_0
15.006.7%
3_1
15.006.7%
3_2
29.003.5%
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-1, avg 1.5 gls
2026-01-27 · Lyaneros 1:1 Fortaleza
2025-04-18 · Lyaneros 0:1 Fortaleza
Source: ruscore
Odds · 4 bookmakers
Best price: 1 2.07 (Betcity) · X 3 (Pari) · 2 3.85 (Pari)
Bookmaker
1
X
2
Pari
2.05
3
3.85
Winline
2.06
2.9
3.7
Fonbet
2.05
3
3.85
Betcity
2.07
3
3.8
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Llaneros
DW
30.07 23:00 UTCColombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Llaneros1:1Bukaramanga
24.07 21:10 UTCColombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Llaneros1:0Pereyra
1Wins
1Draws
0Losses
1.0Scored
0.5Conceded
4Points
Fortaleza FC
D
26.07 21:10 UTCColombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
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Bukaramanga