Colombia. Serie A
Independiente Medellin face Deportivo Cali on August 1, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Independiente Medellin 1-0-0, Deportivo Cali 1-0-0. The bookmaker line makes Independiente Medellin the favourite at about 46%. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Independiente Medellin — 46%
Pure model vs market (1 · Independiente Medellin): model 43% · market 46% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Independiente Medellin 45.8%, draw 28.8%, win Deportivo Cali 25.4%. Model favourite — Independiente Medellin.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Independiente Medellin.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.94 51.6% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.00 25.0% | 3.73 26.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% |
| yes | 1.94 51.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% |
| x2 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 17.00 5.9% |
| 0_3 | 46.00 2.2% |
| 0_4 | 126.00 0.8% |
| 1_0 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 11.00 9.1% |
| 1_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 1_4 | 81.00 1.2% |
| 2_0 | 7.50 13.3% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 2_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 2_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 3_0 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 23.00 4.4% |
Deportivo Cali
Full head-to-head historyIndependiente Medellin - Deportivo Cali
The Independiente Medellin - Deportivo Cali breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
