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Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
31.07.2026 21:10 UTC
31.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Not started

Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings

Independiente Medellin - Deportivo Cali

Football
I
Independiente Medellin
- : -
Not started
Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Independiente Medellin — 51%

1 · Independiente Medellin51.4%
X · draw19.4%
2 · Deportivo Cali29.2%

Model estimate: win Independiente Medellin 51.4%, draw 19.4%, win Deportivo Cali 29.2%. Model favourite — Independiente Medellin.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Independiente Medellin (odds1.95) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • • Model backs Medelin: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Independiente Medellin - Deportivo Cali July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Independiente Medellin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.22 / 2 4.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 47.4%
X 29.5%
2 23.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera A
League table
Independiente Medellin
#929 ptsGP 208-5-729:26
ARRAY
Deportivo Cali
#830 ptsGP 208-6-622:16
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 2.02 Pinnacle
X 3.35 Unibet
2 4.10 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Independiente Medellin
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.61 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.56 xGA 1.05 Corners 5.2
Deportivo Cali
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.10 Conceded 0.60 xG 1.35 xGA 0.96 Corners 5.1

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Independiente Medellin
Rating 1543 xG 1.40 Win 50%
Deportivo Cali
Rating 1535 xG 0.85 Win 23%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:10 UTC
Match center

Independiente Medellin - Deportivo Cali

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Independiente Medellin - 51.4% model pick
Draw - 19.4% draw risk
Deportivo Cali - 29.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 51.4% / 19.4% / 29.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,642 / 1,658 Independiente Medellin / Deportivo Cali
RD 264 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,114-2,170 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.97 market consensus · no value · model 29.2%
X 3.18 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.97 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · value +4.8% · model 80.6%
1X 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 70.8%
X2 1.75 market consensus · no value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.79 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
x2 1.69 59.2% 1.80 55.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.74 36.5%
X 2.03 49.3%
4.50 22.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.12 47.2%
Under 1 1.64 61.0%
Match center
Independiente Medellin
W
25.07 19:05 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Independiente Medellin 3:2 Deportivo Pasto
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Deportivo Cali
W
24.07 23:15 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Deportivo Cali 2:0 Khaguares Kordoba
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points