Colombia. Serie A
Once Caldas - America de Cali
Once Caldas face America de Cali on August 6, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Once Caldas 1-1-0, America de Cali 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 America de Cali — 49%
Model estimate: win Once Caldas 32.0%, draw 19.4%, win America de Cali 48.6%. Model favourite — America de Cali.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Onse Kaldas: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
- • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Once Caldas - America de Cali August 6, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.21 / 2 3.69
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera AHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Once Caldas - America de Cali
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% |
| yes | 1.88 53.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% |
| x2 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.67 59.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.82 35.5% | |
| X | 2.06 48.5% |
| 4.17 24.0% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.68 59.5% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.65 |
| Winline | 2.03 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
| Fonbet | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.65 |
| Betcity | 2.07 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
Once Caldas
Santa Fe
Kukuta
America de Cali
Chiko
Full head-to-head historyOnce Caldas - America de Cali
Match history
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The Once Caldas - America de Cali breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form