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Colombia. Serie A
Colombia. Serie A
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Not started

Colombia. Serie A

Once Caldas - America de Cali

Football
Once Caldas
Once Caldas
- : -
Not started
America de Cali
America de Cali

Once Caldas face America de Cali on August 6, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.

Recent form (W-D-L): Once Caldas 1-1-0, America de Cali 2-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 America de Cali49%

1 · Once Caldas32.0%
X · draw19.4%
2 · America de Cali48.6%

Model estimate: win Once Caldas 32.0%, draw 19.4%, win America de Cali 48.6%. Model favourite — America de Cali.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Once Caldas (odds1.97) Score 2:1 confidence 51%
  • Model backs Onse Kaldas: probability 51% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.97)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Once Caldas - America de Cali August 6, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Once Caldas. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.10 / X 3.21 / 2 3.69

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4% 3 books · best price +1.5%
1 44.7%
X 29.5%
2 25.7%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera A
League table
Once Caldas
#538 ptsGP 239-11-340:28
America de Cali
#440 ptsGP 2312-4-735:20
Best price across 13 books
1 2.12 Unibet
X 3.30 Unibet
2 3.80 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Once Caldas
W-D-L 3-6-1 Scored 1.62 Conceded 1.11 xG 1.47 xGA 1.19 Corners 5.1
America de Cali
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.82 Conceded 0.99 xG 1.44 xGA 0.92 Corners 3.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Once Caldas
Rating 1597 xG 1.32 Win 44%
America de Cali
Rating 1584 xG 0.99 Win 28%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2026 01:30 UTC
Market 1 45.0% @ 2.10 / X 29.4% @ 3.21 / 2 25.6% @ 3.69
Match center

Once Caldas - America de Cali

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Once Caldas 44.6% 32.0% market favourite
Draw 29.8% 19.4% draw risk
America de Cali 25.6% 48.6% Glicko contrarian
xG - 1.32 : 0.99

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 32.0% / 19.4% / 48.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,676 / 1,814 Once Caldas / Amerika De Kali
RD 211 / 226 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,254-2,098 / 1,363-2,265 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.60 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.6%
X 3.14 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.07 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 32.0%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.6%
1X 1.23 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.4%
X2 1.65 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 68.0%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.53 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.88 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.82 35.5%
X 2.06 48.5%
4.17 24.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.06 48.5%
Under 1 1.68 59.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-3-0, avg 1.75 gls
2026-01-30 · Onse Kaldas 1:1 Amerika Kali
2026-01-14 · Onse Kaldas 1:1 Amerika Kali
2025-04-05 · Onse Kaldas 3:0 Amerika Kali
2024-04-28 · Onse Kaldas 0:0 Amerika Kali
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.07 (Betcity) · X 3.15 (Pari) · 2 3.65 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.05 3.15 3.65
Winline 2.03 3.05 3.55
Fonbet 2.05 3.15 3.65
Betcity 2.07 3.1 3.6
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Once Caldas
D W
03.08 01:00 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Once Caldas 2:2 Santa FeSanta Fe
26.07 23:15 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Once Caldas 5:1 KukutaKukuta
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
4 Points
America de Cali
W W
02.08 22:45 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
America de Cali 7:0 ChikoChiko
26.07 17:00 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
America de Cali 2:0 Inter Bogota
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points