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Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
31.07.2026 21:05 UTC
31.07.2026 21:05 UTC
Not started

Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings

Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima

Football
A
Alianza Valledupar
- : -
Not started
D
Deportes Tolima
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Alianza Valledupar — 49%

1 · Alianza Valledupar48.9%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Deportes Tolima31.5%

Model estimate: win Alianza Valledupar 48.9%, draw 19.6%, win Deportes Tolima 31.5%. Model favourite — Alianza Valledupar.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Alianza Valledupar (odds2.04) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Petrolera: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
  • • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera A
League table
Alianza Valledupar
#1618 ptsGP 203-9-814:28
ARRAY
Deportes Tolima
#340 ptsGP 2411-7-633:22
ARRAY
Best price across 13 books
1 2.80 Betano
X 3.20 Unibet
2 2.91 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Alianza Valledupar
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.07 xGA 1.12 Corners 4.3
Deportes Tolima
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.10 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.27 xGA 1.15 Corners 4.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Alianza Valledupar
Rating 1448 xG 1.11 Win 37%
Deportes Tolima
Rating 1598 xG 1.04 Win 33%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 31.07.2026 21:05 UTC
Match center

Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Alianza Valledupar - 48.9% model pick
Draw - 19.6% draw risk
Deportes Tolima - 31.5%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.9% / 19.6% / 31.5% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,477 / 1,543 Petrolera / Tolima
RD 261 / 225 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 954-1,999 / 1,093-1,992 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Match center
Alianza Valledupar
D
26.07 21:10 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Alianza Valledupar 1:1 FortalezaFortaleza
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
Deportes Tolima
W
25.07 23:15 UTC Colombia: Primera A - Clausura Standings
Deportes Tolima 2:1 Khunior
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points