Colombia. Serie A
Santa Fe - Once Caldas
Santa Fe go head-to-head with Once Caldas on August 2, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santa Fe 0-0-1, Once Caldas 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Santa Fe — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Santa Fe): model 29% · market 44% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Santa Fe 43.2%, draw 27.1%, win Once Caldas 29.7%. Model favourite — Santa Fe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Onse Kaldas: probability 50% vs 49% on the line (odds 2.04)
- • legkiy pereves +1 pp nad liniey
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Santa Fe - Once Caldas August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.21 / 2 3.57
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera AHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Santa Fe - Once Caldas
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.67 59.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.76 36.2% | |
| X | 2.12 47.2% |
| 4.07 24.6% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Under 1 | 1.83 54.6% |
Once Caldas
Kukuta
Full head-to-head historySanta Fe - Once Caldas
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Santa Fe - Once Caldas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form