Colombia. Serie A
Santa Fe go head-to-head with Once Caldas on August 3, 2026 in the Colombia. Serie A.
Recent form (W-D-L): Santa Fe 0-0-1, Once Caldas 1-0-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Santa Fe, an implied 44% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Santa Fe — 44%
Pure model vs market (1 · Santa Fe): model 29% · market 44% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Santa Fe 43.5%, draw 28.7%, win Once Caldas 27.8%. Model favourite — Santa Fe.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Santa Fe.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.08 48.1% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| 3.55 28.2% | 3.56 28.1% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.89 52.9% |
| yes | 1.84 54.4% |
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet |
|---|---|
| 0_0 | 8.00 12.5% |
| 0_1 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 0_2 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 0_3 | 34.00 2.9% |
| 0_4 | 91.00 1.1% |
| 1_0 | 6.25 16.0% |
| 1_1 | 5.50 18.2% |
| 1_2 | 9.50 10.5% |
| 1_3 | 23.00 4.4% |
| 1_4 | 67.00 1.5% |
| 2_0 | 8.50 11.8% |
| 2_1 | 7.00 14.3% |
| 2_2 | 12.00 8.3% |
| 2_3 | 29.00 3.5% |
| 2_4 | 76.00 1.3% |
| 3_0 | 15.00 6.7% |
| 3_1 | 13.00 7.7% |
| 3_2 | 21.00 4.8% |
Once Caldas
Kukuta
Full head-to-head historySanta Fe - Once Caldas
The Santa Fe - Once Caldas breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
