Costa Rica. Premier Division
Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa
Inter San Carlos take on Deportivo Saprissa on August 2, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.
Recent form (W-D-L): Inter San Carlos 0-0-1, Deportivo Saprissa 0-1-0. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 26% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Deportivo Saprissa — 55%
Model estimate: win Inter San Carlos 26.0%, draw 18.7%, win Deportivo Saprissa 55.3%. Model favourite — Deportivo Saprissa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Erediano: probability 50% vs 45% on the line (odds 2.22)
- • edge over the line +5 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 0:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa August 2, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Deportivo Saprissa.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.30 / X 3.50 / 2 1.85
- Glicko: Inter San Carlos 26.0% / X 18.7% / Deportivo Saprissa 55.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa
What data is collected and where it is shown
We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.89 52.9% | 1.93 51.8% |
| x2 | 1.16 86.2% | 1.18 84.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.87 20.5% | |
| X | 2.04 49.0% |
| 2.47 40.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.66 37.6% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 5 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.6 | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| Winline | 1.68 | 3.45 | 4.7 |
| Fonbet | 1.9 | 3.15 | 3.75 |
| Betcity | 1.65 | 3.5 | 5.3 |
| Liga Stavok | 1.7 | 3.45 | 4.7 |
Deportivo Saprissa
Puntarenas
Full head-to-head historyInter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa
Match history
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The Inter San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form