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Costa Rica. Premier Division
Costa Rica. Premier Division
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Costa Rica. Premier Division

Puntarenas - Sporting San Jose

Football
Puntarenas
Puntarenas
- : -
Not started
S
Sporting San Jose

Puntarenas take on Sporting San Jose on August 1, 2026 in the Costa Rica. Premier Division.

Recent form (W-D-L): Puntarenas 0-2-3, Sporting San Jose 1-2-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Puntarenas41%

Pure model vs market (1 · Puntarenas): model 49% · market 22% Δ +27 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Puntarenas40.8%
X · draw29.4%
2 · Sporting San Jose29.8%

Model estimate: win Puntarenas 40.8%, draw 29.4%, win Sporting San Jose 29.8%. Model favourite — Puntarenas.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Puntarenas (odds1.77) Score 2:1 confidence 56%
  • Model backs Puntarenas: probability 56% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.77)
  • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Puntarenas - Sporting San Jose August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / X 2.35 / 2 2.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 21.9%
X 39.1%
2 39.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera División
League table
Puntarenas
#71 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Sporting San Jose
#41 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Best price across 14 books
1 2.37 Pinnacle
X 3.17 Pinnacle
2 3.20 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Puntarenas
W-D-L 0-3-7 Scored 1.10 Conceded 2.07 xG 1.15 xGA 1.25
Sporting San Jose
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.09 Conceded 1.10 xG 1.31 xGA 1.20

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Puntarenas
Rating 1511 xG 1.19 Win 42%
Sporting San Jose
Rating 1512 xG 0.94 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Puntarenas 1 : 1 Sporting San Jose
12.26
X3.00
23.09

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:1 · 45'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

45'
22% 39% 39%
Puntarenas (1) Draw (X) Sporting San Jose (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

LIVE

Match momentum (live)

1:1 45'
Puntarenas Sporting San Jose
47Attacks35
22Dangerous attacks26
1Shots on target3
60%Control (ball-safe)42%
1Corners0
5Fouls4

Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 21.9% @ 4.20 / X 39.1% @ 2.35 / 2 39.1% @ 2.35
Match center

Puntarenas - Sporting San Jose

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Puntarenas 40.3% 40.8% market and model agree
Draw 29.9% 29.4% draw risk
Sporting San Jose 29.9% 29.8%
xG - 1.19 : 0.94

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.8% / 29.4% / 29.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,592 / 1,500 Puntarenas / Sporting San Jose
RD 290 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,012-2,172 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.35 Fonbet · no value · model 29.8%
X 2.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 40.8%
Double chance
12 1.52 Fonbet · value +7.3% · model 70.6%
1X 1.53 Fonbet · value +7.4% · model 70.2%
X2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 59.2%
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
1 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.20 45.5% 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.52 65.8%
1x 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.53 65.4%
x2 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.09 32.4%
X 1.95 51.3%
3.78 26.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.48 67.6%
Under 0.5 2.36 42.4%
Match center
Puntarenas
D L L L D
2026-07-24 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Puntarenas Herediano 1:1 Puntarenas
2026-04-26 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas Puntarenas 1:3 Deportivo Saprissa
2026-04-24 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas Alajuelense 5:2 Puntarenas
2026-04-19 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas Puntarenas 1:2 Sporting San Jose
2026-04-12 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas Municipal Perez Zeledon 3:3 Puntarenas
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.8 Conceded
2 Points
Sporting San Jose
D D L W L
2026-07-26 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Sporting San Jose 1:1 Alajuelense Sporting San Jose
2026-04-26 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Herediano 0:0 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
2026-04-22 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Sporting San Jose 0:1 Municipal Liberia Sporting San Jose
2026-04-19 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas 1:2 Sporting San Jose Sporting San Jose
2026-04-16 Copa Costa Rica 25/26
Sporting San Jose 1:3 Deportivo Saprissa Sporting San Jose
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyPuntarenas - Sporting San Jose

Puntarenas
3 matches total
Sporting San Jose
Puntarenas: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
Sporting San Jose: 1 (33.3%)
Biggest win Sporting San Jose 1:2 (2026-04-19) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 2026-04-19) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (2026-03-29) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

2026-04-19 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Puntarenas 1:2 Sporting San Jose
2026-03-29 Copa Costa Rica 25/26
Puntarenas 1:1 Sporting San Jose
2026-03-25 Copa Costa Rica 25/26
Sporting San Jose 1:1 Puntarenas