Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings
Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos
Deportivo Saprissa face San Carlos on August 2, 2026 in the Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Deportivo Saprissa 1-0-0, San Carlos 0-0-1. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Deportivo Saprissa — 69%
Pure model vs market (1 · Deportivo Saprissa): model 60% · market 75% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Deportivo Saprissa 69.0%, draw 18.9%, win San Carlos 12.1%. Model favourite — Deportivo Saprissa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Saprissa: probability 50% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.85)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:1.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 6.10 / 2 10.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Primera DivisiónHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.61 62.1% |
| yes | 2.17 46.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% |
| x2 | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 2.59 38.6% |
| 10.10 9.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.26 44.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
San Carlos
Full head-to-head historyDeportivo Saprissa - San Carlos
Match history
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The Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form