Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings
Zeledon - Cartagines
Zeledon face Cartagines on August 3, 2026 in the Costa Rica: Vysshiy Division - Apertura Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Zeledon 0-0-1, Cartagines 1-0-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Cartagines — 47%
Pure model vs market (2 · Cartagines): model 53% · market 47% Δ +6 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Zeledon 25.1%, draw 28.4%, win Cartagines 46.6%. Model favourite — Cartagines.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Kartakhines: probability 60% vs 53% on the line (odds 1.90)
- • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Zeledon - Cartagines August 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.76 / X 3.28 / 2 2.00
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Zeledon - Cartagines
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 1.89 52.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.69 59.2% | 1.72 58.1% |
| x2 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.45 22.5% | |
| X | 2.05 48.8% |
| 2.58 38.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
| Under 0.5 | 2.54 39.4% |
Full head-to-head historyZeledon - Cartagines
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Zeledon - Cartagines breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form