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KUVEYT: First Division Standings

01.08.2026 17:45 UTC Match prediction

01.08.2026 17:45 UTC

Finished

KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Shamiya - Yarmouk

Football

Shamiya

0 : 0

Finished

Yarmouk

Shamiya face Yarmouk on August 1, 2026 in the KUVEYT: First Division Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Shamiya 1-0-1, Yarmouk 1-0-1. PrognozAI's Glicko-2 model gives the home side 29% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Yarmouk — 44%

Pure model vs market (2 · Yarmouk): model 41% · market 12% Δ +29 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Shamiya28.8%

X · draw27.4%

2 · Yarmouk43.8%

Model estimate: win Shamiya 28.8%, draw 27.4%, win Yarmouk 43.8%. Model favourite — Yarmouk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Shamiya (odds1.37) Score 2:0 confidence 63% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Al Shamiya: probability 63% vs 73% on the line (odds 1.37)
• no edge over the line (-10 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shamiya - Yarmouk August 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Shamiya.

Line favourite Fonbet: Shamiya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.35 / X 4.60 / 2 7.70
Glicko: Shamiya 28.8% / X 27.4% / Yarmouk 43.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.8%

1 68.1%

X 20.0%

2 11.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Division 1

League table

Shamiya

#710 ptsGP 153-1-1115:43

Yarmouk

#232 ptsGP 1510-2-332:14

Best price across 5 books

1 26.00 Marathonbet

X 8.00 BetVictor

2 1.12 Bet365

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Shamiya

W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.09 Conceded 3.16 xG 0.94 xGA 2.10

Yarmouk

W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.38 Conceded 1.20 xG 1.64 xGA 0.95

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Shamiya

Rating 1299 xG 0.60 Win 8%

Yarmouk

Rating 1635 xG 2.26 Win 75%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Start 01.08.2026 17:45 UTC

Market 1 68.1% @ 1.35 / X 20.0% @ 4.60 / 2 11.9% @ 7.70

Match center

Shamiya - Yarmouk

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:0

Events 0

Statistics 0

Lineups 0

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Shamiya 28.3% 28.8%

Draw 27.7% 27.4% draw risk

Yarmouk 44.0% 43.8% market and model agree

1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 28.8% / 27.4% / 43.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,403 / 1,551 Al Shamiya / Yarmuk

RD 249 / 260 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 905-1,901 / 1,030-2,072 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.70 Fonbet · no value · model 43.8%

X 4.60 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 28.8%

Double chance

12 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 72.6%

1X 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 56.2%

X2 2.85 Fonbet · weak value +102.9% · model 71.2%

Handicap

2 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 0 5.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.85 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.47 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.47 68.0%	1.62 61.7%
yes	2.50 40.0%	2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.21 82.6%	1.49 67.1%	1.17 85.5%
1x	1.14 87.7%	1.51 66.2%	1.07 93.5%
x2	2.10 47.6%	1.23 81.3%	2.85 35.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	10.30 9.7%
X	2.48 40.3%
	1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.60 62.5%
Under 1	2.20 45.5%

Match center

Shamiya

L W

29.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Shamiya 0:3 Al-Sulaybikhat

25.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Shamiya 1:0 Khaytan

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

1.5 Conceded

3 Points

Yarmouk

W L

29.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 2:1 Sporty

25.07 15:45 UTC KUVEYT: First Division Standings

Yarmouk 0:1 Al-Sakhel

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyShamiya - Yarmouk

Shamiya

0 matches total

Yarmouk

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Shamiya - Yarmouk

AI match prediction Shamiya - Yarmouk August 1, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Buy the full AI analysis

Shamiya - Yarmouk

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Both teams to score

Double chance

First Half Winner

Goals Over/Under First Half

Match history