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La Liga
La Liga Spain
34 round 02.05.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction
02.05.2026 16:30 UTC 34 round
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Stadium Estadio Mendizorrotza
Alaves
Alaves
2 : 4
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Athletic Club May 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.29 / 2 2.57
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 34.2% / X 28.9% / Athletic Club 36.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 34.2%
X 28.9%
2 37.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 45.6%
Under 2.5 54.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Mendisorrosa (Vitoriya, Spain), 19 123 zritelya (96% pri vmestimosti 19 840)
Referee Alekhandro Kintero Gonsales (Uelva)
Start 02.05.2026 16:30 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Athletic Club

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Alaves - Atletik B, 2 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 34 round. Alaves - Atletik B, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.57 market consensus · line only
X 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
2.68 37.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.67 37.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.39 29.5% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.52 39.7% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet William Hill
no 2.00 50.0% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.01 99.0%
Over 0.75 — 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 — 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.25 — 1.18 84.8%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
Over 1.75 — 1.42 70.4%
Over 2.0 — 1.55 64.5%
Over 2.25 — 1.92 52.1%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% —
Over 3.5 3.55 28.2% —
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3% —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% —
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8% —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% —
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1% —
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7% —
Match center
Alaves

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Athletic Club

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Lukas Boye Karlos Protesoni Travmirovannye Benyat Prados
Match center
Alaves
W L D D W
25.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
11.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
05.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:2 OsasunaOsasuna
22.03 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 4:3 SeltaSelta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
8 Points
Athletic Club
L W L L W
25.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
21.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
12.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:2 GetafeGetafe
22.03 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Athletic Club

Alaves
2 matches total
Athletic Club
Alaves: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Athletic Club: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Alaves 1:0 (13.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 13.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves
1:0
Athletic Club
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Athletic Club
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Alaves
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Athletic Club
Alaves Team comparison Athletic Club
33 Games 33
9 Wins 12
9 Draws 5
15 Losses 16
38 Scored 36
49 Conceded 48
36 Points 41
97.47 Attacks 112.13
53.13 Dangerous attacks 53.9
0 Big chances 0
11.45 Shots on goal 13
3.73 Shots on target 4.45
Sendoffs 0.21 Goly Antonio Blanko Ankhel Peres 1:0 8' Robert Navarro Niko Uilyams 1 46' Nauel Tenalya Abde Rebbash 2:1 68' Oyan Sanset Yuri Bershish 2 74' Niko Uilyams Gorka Guruseta 2:3 83' Niko Uilyams Gorka Guruseta 2:4 87' Nakazaniya Toni Martines 28' Pablo Ibanes 49' Antonio Blanko 59' Gorka Guruseta 59' Niko Uilyams 76' Mikel Khaurekhisar 84' Karles Alenya 90+2' VAR Alekhandro Rego 45'

Alaves Atletik B 33 Games 33 9 Wins 12 9 Draws 5 15 Losses 16 38 Scored 36 49 Conceded 48 36 Points 41 97.47 Attacks 112.13 53.13 Dangerous attacks 53.9 0 Big chances 0 11.45 Shots on goal 13 3.73 Udary v stvor 4.45 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.06 Uglovye 5.58 1.88 Offsaydy 1.42 15.18 Foly 13.67 49.73 % vladeniya myachom 49.09 2.24 Warnings 2.12 0.15 Sendoffs 0.21 Goly Antonio Blanko Ankhel Peres 1:0 8' Robert Navarro Niko Uilyams 1 46' Nauel Tenalya Abde Rebbash 2:1 68' Oyan Sanset Yuri Bershish 2 74' Niko Uilyams Gorka Guruseta 2:3 83' Niko Uilyams Gorka Guruseta 2:4 87' Nakazaniya Toni Martines 28' Pablo Ibanes 49' Antonio Blanko 59' Gorka Guruseta 59' Niko Uilyams 76' Mikel Khaurekhisar 84' Karles Alenya 90+2' VAR Alekhandro Rego 45'