La Liga
La Liga Spain
06.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Barcelona

Spain Futbol
Alaves
Alaves
0 : 3
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Barcelona 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.88 / X 4.16 / 2 1.71
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 19.9% / X 23.3% / Barcelona 56.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 19.9%
X 23.3%
2 56.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 59.2%
Under 2.5 40.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Barcelona

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.71 market consensus · line only
X 4.16 market consensus · line only
1 4.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.20 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.88 20.5%
Х 4.16 24.0%
П2 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.20 83.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.26 44.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.64 61.0%
ТМ 2.5 2.38 42.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.72 26.9%
П2 1.31 76.3%
Match center
Alaves
L L W L W
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:2 GetafeGetafe
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 SevillaSevilla
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 EspanyolEspanyol
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
6 Points
Barcelona
L W W W
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:4 OsasunaOsasuna
25.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 GetafeGetafe
22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:1 VillarrealVillarreal
15.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.5 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Barcelona

Alaves
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history