La Liga
La Liga Spain
02.11.2025 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Alaves
Alaves
2 : 1
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Espanyol 2 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.46 / X 3.06 / 2 3.27
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 39.1% / X 31.5% / Espanyol 29.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 39.1%
X 31.4%
2 29.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 15:15 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
Х 3.08 32.5%
П2 3.35 29.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 2.44 41.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.48 40.3% 2.48 40.3%
Х 3.05 32.8% 3.12 32.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.06 32.7% 3.08 32.5% 3.08 32.5%
П2 3.30 30.3% 3.33 30.0% 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.59 62.9% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Alaves
L D W L D
26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 ValenciaValencia
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:1 ЭльчеЭльче
27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Espanyol
W W L D D
25.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 ЭльчеЭльче
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 OviedoOviedo
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:0 GironaGirona
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ValenciaValencia
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Espanyol

Alaves
1 matches total
Espanyol
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Espanyol 2:3 (14.09 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 14.09 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves
2:3
Espanyol