La Liga
La Liga Spain
08.02.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Getafe

Spain Futbol
Alaves
Alaves
0 : 2
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Getafe 8 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 2.67 / 2 4.02
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 40.7% / X 35.6% / Getafe 23.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 75.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 40.7%
X 35.6%
2 23.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 24.3%
Under 2.5 75.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.02 market consensus · line only
X 2.68 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.47 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.37 42.2%
Х 2.74 36.5%
П2 4.15 24.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.41 41.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%
Х 2.64 37.9% 2.65 37.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.65 37.7%
П2 3.95 25.3% 4.15 24.1% 4.16 24.0% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9%
yes 2.80 35.7% 2.86 35.0% 2.84 35.2% 2.70 37.0% 3.00 33.3% 2.77 36.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.97 33.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.40 71.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Alaves
W W L L D
30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
25.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OviedoOviedo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Getafe
D D L L D
01.02 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:0 SeltaSelta
26.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 GironaGirona
18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 ValenciaValencia
09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Getafe

Alaves
2 matches total
Getafe
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Getafe: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Getafe 0:2 (28.09 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 24.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (24.09 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves
1:1
Getafe
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves
0:2
Getafe