La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Las Palmas

Spain Futbol
Alaves
Alaves
2 : 0
Finished
Las Palmas
Las Palmas

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Las Palmas 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.85 / X 3.48 / 2 4.93
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 52.4% / X 27.9% / Las Palmas 19.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 52.4%
X 27.9%
2 19.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 15:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Las Palmas

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.04 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.48 28.7%
П2 4.93 20.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.04 49.0%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.40 41.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.63 61.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.33 75.2%
П2 3.56 28.1%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Las Palmas

Alaves
0 matches total
Las Palmas
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history