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La Liga
La Liga Spain
16.08.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
16.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Levante

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
2 : 1
Finished
Levante
Levante

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Levante August 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite Fonbet: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.20 / X 3.15 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 43.9% / X 30.7% / Levante 25.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 43.9%
X 30.7%
2 25.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 38.3%
Under 2.5 61.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Levante

Form 5/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.80 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.22 45.1%
X 3.17 31.6%
3.82 26.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.18 45.9% 2.19 45.7% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.17 31.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.81 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Alaves
D W W L D
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Valladolid
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 ValenciaValencia
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Levante

Alaves
0 matches total
Levante
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history