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La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.05.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
24.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Alaves - Osasuna

Spain Football
Alaves
Alaves
1 : 1
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Osasuna May 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.28 / X 3.17 / 2 2.45
  • 1X2 market: Alaves 29.6% / X 30.7% / Osasuna 39.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 29.6%
X 30.7%
2 39.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 40.4%
Under 2.5 59.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Alaves - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 3.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.28 30.5%
X 3.17 31.6%
2.45 40.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.62 61.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.39 41.8%
Under 2.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.27 44.1%
1.68 59.5%
Match center
Alaves
W W L D W
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Valladolid
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 ValenciaValencia
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.2 Conceded
10 Points
Osasuna
W W D L W
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 SevillaSevilla
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Osasuna

Alaves
0 matches total
Osasuna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history