Match center
Start
13.04.2025 14:15 UTC
13.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Alaves - Real Madrid
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alaves - Real Madrid 13 апреля 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.37 / X 4.19 / 2 1.65
- 1X2 market: Alaves 18.1% / X 23.2% / Real Madrid 58.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.1%
1
18.1%
X
23.1%
2
58.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Alaves - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.65
market consensus · line only
X
4.19
market consensus · line only
1
5.37
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
2.38
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.17
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 5.37 18.6% |
| Х | 4.19 23.9% |
| П2 | 1.65 60.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_away | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 2.38 42.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.12 24.3% |
| П2 | 1.26 79.4% |
Match center
Alaves
W
L
L
L
L
05.04 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
1:0
Girona
Girona
26.10 14:15 UTC
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Alaves
0:1
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Rayo Vallecano
18.10 19:00 UTC
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Alaves
2:3
Valladolid
06.10 14:15 UTC
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Alaves
0:3
Barselona
Barselona
28.09 12:00 UTC
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Alaves
0:2
Getafe
Getafe
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
3
Points
Real Madrid
L
L
W
W
D
05.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:2
Valencia
Valencia
26.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:4
Barselona
Barselona
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Selta
Selta
05.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
29.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.6
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Real Madrid
Alaves
1
matches total
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Madrid: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 2:3 (24.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 24.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
24.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Alaves
2:3
Real Madrid