Match center
Start
14.12.2025 20:00 UTC
14.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Alaves - Real Madrid
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alaves - Real Madrid 14 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.97 / X 4.04 / 2 1.57
- 1X2 market: Alaves 16.0% / X 23.6% / Real Madrid 60.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
15.9%
X
23.5%
2
60.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Alaves - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.57
market consensus · line only
X
4.05
market consensus · line only
1
5.97
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.14
market consensus · line only
12
1.25
market consensus · line only
1X
2.40
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.14
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.98
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.92
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.84
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 6.08 16.5% |
| Х | 4.23 23.6% |
| П2 | 1.57 63.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 5.90 17.0% | 6.30 15.9% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.00 16.7% |
| Х | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.17 24.0% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% |
| П2 | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.91 52.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 2.35 42.6% | 2.43 41.2% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% |
Match center
Alaves
W
L
L
L
W
06.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
1:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
29.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
1:3
Barselona
Barselona
22.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Selta
Selta
08.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Girona
Girona
02.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
6
Points
Real Madrid
L
W
D
D
D
07.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:2
Selta
Selta
03.12 18:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
30.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:1
Girona
Girona
23.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:2
Эльче
Эльче
09.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Real Madrid
Alaves
2
matches total
Alaves: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Madrid: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 0:1 (13.04 14:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 24.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
13.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Alaves
0:1
Real Madrid
24.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Alaves
2:3
Real Madrid