La Liga Spain

20.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Alaves - Sevilla

Spain Futbol

Alaves

1 : 2

Finished

Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Alaves - Sevilla 20 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.

Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.00 / 2 3.37
1X2 market: Alaves 39.3% / X 32.1% / Sevilla 28.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%

1 39.3%

X 32.1%

2 28.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 36.1%

Under 2.5 63.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Alaves - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.40 market consensus · line only

X 3.00 market consensus · line only

1 2.44 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.59 market consensus · line only

12 1.42 market consensus · line only

1X 1.35 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.56 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.31 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.65 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.69 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.14 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.40 41.7%
Х	3.00 33.3%
П2	3.60 27.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
П1	2.45 40.8%	2.54 39.4%	2.47 40.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.40 41.7%	2.45 40.8%
Х	2.96 33.8%	3.12 32.1%	3.04 32.9%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	2.90 34.5%
П2	3.35 29.9%	3.32 30.1%	3.26 30.7%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%	3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.70 58.8%	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.16 46.3%	2.11 47.4%	2.11 47.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.58 63.3%	1.58 63.3%	1.63 61.4%	1.63 61.4%	1.55 64.5%
home_away	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%
home_draw	1.38 72.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.35 74.1%

Match center

Alaves

W D L W D

13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:0 Athletic Club

30.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:1 Реал Бетис

16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 2:1 Леванте

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Osasuna

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Sevilla

D W L L L

12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:2 Эльче

30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:0 Girona

25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:2 Getafe

17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:3 Athletic Club

25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:4 Villarreal

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.8 Scored

2.2 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Sevilla

Alaves

2 matches total

Sevilla

Alaves: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Sevilla: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Alaves 2:1 (20.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 20.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

20.04 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Alaves

1:1

Sevilla

20.09 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Alaves

2:1

Sevilla