Match center
Start
18.10.2024 19:00 UTC
18.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Alaves - Valladolid
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Alaves - Valladolid 18 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Alaves.
Line favourite market consensus: Alaves. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.95 / 2 6.26
- 1X2 market: Alaves 59.9% / X 24.6% / Valladolid 15.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.0%
1
59.9%
X
24.6%
2
15.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Alaves - Valladolid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.26
market consensus · line only
X
3.95
market consensus · line only
1
1.62
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.44
market consensus · line only
12
1.29
market consensus · line only
1X
1.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.23
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Х | 3.95 25.3% |
| П2 | 6.26 16.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.44 41.0% |
| home_away | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.23 44.8% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.71 58.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.22 82.0% |
| П2 | 4.71 21.2% |
Match center
Alaves
L
L
L
W
L
06.10 14:15 UTC
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Alaves
0:3
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Barselona
28.09 12:00 UTC
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Alaves
0:2
Getafe
Getafe
24.09 19:00 UTC
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2:3
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
20.09 19:00 UTC
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2:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
14.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:3
Espanyol
Espanyol
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.4
Conceded
3
Points
Valladolid
L
L
L
D
L
05.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Valladolid
1:2
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
27.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Valladolid
1:2
Mallorca
Mallorca
24.09 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Valladolid
1:2
Sevilla
Sevilla
21.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Valladolid
0:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
15.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Valladolid
1:3
Selta
Selta
0
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAlaves - Valladolid
Alaves
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals