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La Liga
La Liga Spain
11.05.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
11.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Alaves

Spain Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Alaves May 11, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 2.80 / 2 4.75
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 45.2% / X 34.5% / Alaves 20.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 45.2%
X 34.5%
2 20.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.05.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.75 market consensus · line only
X 2.80 market consensus · line only
1 2.14 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.78 market consensus · line only
12 1.48 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
X 2.80 35.7%
4.75 21.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.78 56.2%
home_away 1.48 67.6%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.73 57.8%
Under 1.5 2.19 45.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
3.13 32.0%
Match center
Athletic Club
D W L W D
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 VillarrealVillarreal
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Alaves
D W D L W
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 SevillaSevilla
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 GironaGirona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Alaves

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Alaves
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history