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La Liga Spain

13.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

13.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Athletic Club - Alaves

Spain Football

Athletic Club

0 : 1

Finished

Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Alaves September 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 3.78 / 2 6.37
1X2 market: Athletic Club 59.7% / X 25.3% / Alaves 15.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 59.7%

X 25.3%

2 15.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 41.1%

Under 2.5 58.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.09.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Athletic Club - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.38 market consensus · line only

X 3.78 market consensus · line only

1 1.60 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.34 market consensus · line only

12 1.26 market consensus · line only

1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.83 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.58 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.62 61.7%
X	3.79 26.4%
	6.48 15.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.59 62.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.63 61.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%
X	3.70 27.0%	3.75 26.7%	3.96 25.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.90 25.6%	3.85 26.0%
	6.20 16.1%	7.10 14.1%	6.71 14.9%	6.00 16.7%	6.25 16.0%	6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Dafabet	Marathonbet
no	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.58 63.3%
yes	2.30 43.5%	2.42 41.3%	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Dafabet
draw_away	2.30 43.5%	2.43 41.2%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.32 43.1%	2.23 44.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.15 87.0%	1.14 87.7%

Match center

Athletic Club

W W W L W

31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Real Betis

25.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Rayo Vallecano

17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 3:2 Sevilla

25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:3 Barselona

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Valencia

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

12 Points

Alaves

D L W D W

30.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 0:1 Real Betis

16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Alaves 2:1 Levante

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:1 Osasuna

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Alaves 1:0 Valladolid

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Alaves

Athletic Club

1 matches total

Alaves

Athletic Club: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Alaves: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Athletic Club 1:0 (11.05 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 11.05 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

11.05 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Athletic Club

1:0

Alaves