La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Celta Vigo

Spain Futbol
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
3 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Celta Vigo 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.79 / X 3.69 / 2 4.94
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 54.1% / X 26.3% / Celta Vigo 19.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 54.1%
X 26.3%
2 19.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 50.3%
Under 2.5 49.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 22.09.2024 14:15 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Celta Vigo

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.79 55.9%
Х 3.69 27.1%
П2 4.94 20.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.13 47.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.94 51.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.96 51.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.32 75.8%
П2 3.64 27.5%
Match center
Athletic Club
W W
19.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 Leganes
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:2 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Celta Vigo
W L
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:1 Valladolid
01.09 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Celta Vigo

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history