Match center
Start
17.05.2026 17:00 UTC
17.05.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Athletic Club - Celta Vigo
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Athletic Club - Celta Vigo 17 мая 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.
Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.14 / 2 3.43
- 1X2 market: Athletic Club 42.1% / X 30.3% / Celta Vigo 27.7%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.4%
1
42.1%
X
30.2%
2
27.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5
43.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: Athletic Club
Main outcome
Athletic Club
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
44.0%
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
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Match center
Athletic Club - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
1:1
Events
16
Statistics
22
Lineups
46
min
Event
Player
Team
4'
4' Normal Goal | W. Swedberg | assist/sub out: I. Moriba
W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
10'
10' Yellow Card | J. Rueda
Javi Rueda
Celta Vigo
38'
38' Yellow Card | Y. Berchiche
Yuri
Athletic Club
42'
42' Yellow Card | I. Radu
I. Radu
Celta Vigo
46'
46' Substitution 1 | J. Rueda | assist/sub out: O. Mingueza
Javi Rueda
Celta Vigo
46'
46' Substitution 2 | U. Gomez | assist/sub out: R. Navarro
Unai Gómez
Athletic Club
52'
52' Normal Goal | I. Williams | assist/sub out: Y. Berchiche
I. Williams
Athletic Club
59'
59' Substitution 2 | F. Jutgla | assist/sub out: P. Duran
Ferran Jutglà
Celta Vigo
Metric
Athletic Club
Celta Vigo
SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG)
2.49
0.15
final
Заблокированные удары
4
1
final
Удары мимо
14
0
final
Удары в створ
9
2
final
Удары всего
27
3
final
Фолы совершено
14
11
final
Желтые карточки
2
2
final
Офсайды
1
4
final
Athletic Club
#1 U. Simon, #7 Álex Berenguer, #11 Gorka Guruzeta, #17 Yuri, #18 Mikel Jauregizar, #14 A. Laporte, #16 Ruíz de Galarreta, #20 Unai Gómez, #5 Y. Alvarez, #9 I. Williams, #2 Gorosabel
Celta Vigo
#5 Sergio Carreira, #13 I. Radu, #19 W. Swedberg, #20 Marcos Alonso, #6 I. Moriba, #7 B. Iglesias, #29 Yoel Lago, #8 Fer López, #9 Ferran Jutglà, #32 Javi Rodríguez, #17 Javi Rueda
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
football.player.assists
0
B. Iglesias
Celta Vigo
football.player.minutes_played
59
Fer López
Celta Vigo
football.player.assists
0
Fer López
Celta Vigo
football.player.minutes_played
89
Ferran Jutglà
Celta Vigo
football.player.assists
0
Ferran Jutglà
Celta Vigo
football.player.minutes_played
59
Hugo Álvarez
Celta Vigo
football.player.assists
0
Hugo Álvarez
Celta Vigo
football.player.minutes_played
16
I. Moriba
Celta Vigo
football.player.assists
1
I. Moriba
Celta Vigo
football.player.minutes_played
90
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
1.14
Fonbet · line only
1
8.00
Fonbet · line only
2
3.43
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
5.30
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.03
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
3.65
Fonbet · line only
2 0
2.75
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
1.25
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
5.20
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.14
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.45
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.22 45.1% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Х | 3.15 31.8% | 3.24 30.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 2.88 34.7% |
| П2 | 3.30 30.3% | 3.53 28.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.62 61.7% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% | 1.03 97.1% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.35 74.1% |
| ТБ 1.75 | — | 1.46 68.5% |
| ТБ 2.0 | — | 1.61 62.1% |
| ТБ 2.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% |
| ТБ 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — |
| ТБ 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — |
| ТБ 4.5 | 8.00 12.5% | — |
| ТМ 0.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — |
| ТМ 1.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — |
| ТМ 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.07 93.5% | — |
Match center
Athletic Club
L
L
W
L
W
13.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Athletic Club
0:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
10.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Athletic Club
0:1
Valencia
Valencia
02.05 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Athletic Club
4:2
Alaves
Alaves
25.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Athletic Club
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
21.04 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Athletic Club
1:0
Osasuna
Osasuna
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
6
Points
Celta Vigo
L
W
W
L
L
12.05 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:3
Леванте
Леванте
09.05 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:0
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
03.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
26.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:2
Villarreal
Villarreal
22.04 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:1
Barselona
Barselona
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
2
matches total
Athletic Club: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Selta 0:2 (14.12 15:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (3:1, 22.09 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Athletic Club
0:2
Selta
22.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Athletic Club
3:1
Selta