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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Elche

Spain Football
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Elche February 20, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite Fonbet: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.73 / X 3.85 / 2 5.10
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 55.9% / X 25.1% / Elche 19.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 55.9%
X 25.1%
2 19.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 51.6%
Under 2.5 48.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
X 3.85 Fonbet · line only
1 1.73 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.10 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.60 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.73 57.8%
X 3.83 26.1%
5.13 19.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.83 26.1% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
4.90 20.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.17 19.3% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Athletic Club
W W D L L
15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 OviedoOviedo
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:2 LevanteLevante
01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 SevillaSevilla
17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:3 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Elche
D L L L D
13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
31.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
23.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:3 LevanteLevante
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Elche

Athletic Club
1 matches total
Elche
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Elche: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (19.10 12:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club
0:0
Elche