La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.10.2024 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Athletic Club - Espanyol

Spain Futbol
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
4 : 1
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Athletic Club - Espanyol 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 4.64 / 2 9.15
  • 1X2 market: Athletic Club 68.6% / X 20.8% / Espanyol 10.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 68.6%
X 20.8%
2 10.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 12:00 UTC
Match center

Athletic Club - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.15 market consensus · line only
X 4.64 market consensus · line only
1 1.41 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.41 70.9%
Х 4.64 21.6%
П2 9.15 10.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.11 32.2%
home_away 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.97 50.8%
ТМ 2.5 1.93 51.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.12 89.3%
П2 7.08 14.1%
Match center
Athletic Club
L D W W W
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 GironaGirona
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 SevillaSevilla
22.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:1 SeltaSelta
19.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 Leganes
15.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:2 Las PalmasLas Palmas
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Espanyol
W L L L W
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 3:2 AlavesAlaves
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAthletic Club - Espanyol

Athletic Club
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history